Quarterly Economic Outlook March 2018

Bologna, Royal Hotel Carlton, 28/03/2018

Global growth remains strong, widespread in key areas and sectors, but uncertainty about future prospects is growing. The US Administration's announcement of the introduction of tariffs on steel and aluminium is raising concerns about a possible trade war. Markets also fear that US inflation may surprise upwards and lead to faster-than-expected rate increases. In Europe, the German Government is finally being formed, while the Italian political scenario after the recent elections is uncertain. In this context, the debate on European reforms is hardly taking a serious start. The March Quarterly Economic Outlook will be an opportunity to reflect on the performance of the Italian and global economies in light of these factors and, at the same time, shift our focus on medium-term trends, as usual for the first Outlook of the year. 

We will discuss our forecasts and relative risks in an interview with Olivier Blanchard (MIT and Peterson Institute for International Economics) and Fabiano Schivardi (LUISS and Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance), who will discuss medium-term growth prospects for Italy and Europe.

10.00 - 10.30
The themes of the outlook and its risks
Lorenzo Forni
Prometeia Associazione
10.30 - 11.00
The international context
Lorena Vincenzi
Prometeia Associazione
11.00 - 11.30
Stefania Tomasini
Prometeia Associazione
11.30 - 11.45
Coffee Break
Focus: The risks for the outlook
11.45 - 12.15
Baseline scenario and risks
Interview to Olivier Blanchard
MIT and Peterson Institute for International Economics
12.15 - 12.45
Growth perspectives fot Italian and European economies
Fabiano Schivardi
LUISS and Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance
12.45 - 13.15
General Discussion